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LOOMING FLOOD DANGER: LESSONS FROM ALAU DAM AND GUADALUPE RIVER

Within the past year, two devas­tating floods—at Alau Dam in Maiduguri and the Guadalupe River in Texas—have shown how water, life’s greatest resource, can also be its deadliest force. Homes were swept away, towns ravaged, and children lost.

Now, September’s rains are here again. Ni­geria has issued flood alerts for 11 states be­tween September 14 and 18, 2025, warning of torrential rains and rising rivers. High-risk areas stretch from Benue to Zamfara, includ­ing Makurdi, Rijau, Karaye, Jibia, Makira, and Gusau.

The National Flood Early Warning Cen­tre has raised the alarms over swelling lev­els in the Gongola, Benue, and Niger rivers. Residents on floodplains have been urged to evacuate—but many may have nowhere to go. Without safe shelters and clear evacuation plans, official warnings can only do so much.

Nigeria’s rainy season is already among the longest in Africa—up to 290 days in the South. But climate change is making storms more violent and floods less predictable. La­gos, with its 15–20 million residents, is scram­bling to clear blocked drains as a pre-emptive strike.

The lesson from Alau Dam and Guada­lupe River is simple: early warning must be matched with early action. Preparing secure shelters, clearing drainage systems, and en­forcing floodplain zoning are no longer op­tional—they’re survival measures.

If Nigeria doesn’t act decisively, Septem­ber’s rains could turn into another season of preventable tragedy.

Building A Flood-Resilient Lagos: Les­sons From Past Disasters

As part of its drive to build a flood-resilient Lagos and minimize the impact of flooding on lives and property, the state government has embarked on an ambitious large-scale drainage project to address perennial flooding across key parts of the metropolis.

This project includes expanding water channels, upgrading existing drainage sys­tems, and ensuring the free flow of storm wa­ter during heavy rains. Temporary pumping stations have been established in areas such as Adeniji Adele Underbridge to remove ex­cess water and provide immediate relief to affected communities. Resilient drainage in­frastructure is also being upgraded in areas like Park View Estate and Lagos Island.

The government is emphasizing proper waste disposal and warning residents against dumping refuse in gutters. Early-warning sys­tems have been introduced to alert residents of potential flooding so they can take precau­tions, and community awareness campaigns are underway. Authorities are engaging directly with residents and stakeholders to stress the importance of maintaining clear drains and preventing blockages.

Government is not alone.

Some like-minded Nigerians in Lagos have grouped themselves under the name -Envi­ronmental Angels. It is led by Patrick Oke, and it includes Tayo Gbajabiamila, Linda Uthman, Soni Irabor, and Gboyega Adelaja as well as yours truly. The mission is to enlight­en Lagosians in particular and Nigerians in general about how to keep our environment free of the sort of trash that could impede the free flow of drainage and exacerbate the climate-induced environmental challenges our country and indeed the world is grappling with.

All these measures are intended to prevent the unnecessary loss of lives and property during the rainy season and avert the kind of disasters seen elsewhere.

There is an African proverb: “Once a child is burned by fire, he or she runs from even a spark.” The horrific Alau Dam disaster re­mains fresh in the minds of Nigerians—of­ficially 30 lives were lost, but locals estimate as many as 150 deaths. States like Lagos are therefore taking proactive steps to prevent similar tragedies. The same approach can be extended to other coastal regions of Nigeria where emergency procedures are being put in place to reduce risk.

Flood disasters are not new to Nigeria. One of the most infamous was the Ogunpa River flood in Ibadan, Oyo State. On August 31, 1980, heavy rainfall caused the Ogunpa River to overflow, killing more than 300 people and destroying property on a massive scale. That tragedy left a lasting imprint on Nige­ria’s flood management strategies. In much the same way, the Alau Dam disaster of Sep­tember 2024 has become a wake-up call for renewed vigilance.

Climate change—and the flooding it exac­erbates—respects no borders. Nigeria’s ex­perience mirrors that of the United States, where the Guadalupe River in Texas over­flowed catastrophically on July 4, 2025. As in Maiduguri, heavy rainfall led to rapid river rise. At least 135 people were confirmed dead, with Kerr County suffering 117 fatalities alone. More than 12,100 structures were dam­aged across communities such as Kerrville and Hunt.

According to meteorologists, the flooding in Texas was triggered by a mesoscale convec­tive vortex combined with tropical moisture from the remnants of Tropical Storm Bar­ry—dumping four months’ worth of rain in just a few days.

Together, these disasters underscore the urgent need for proactive planning, resilient infrastructure, and community preparedness in the face of intensifying climate impacts.

Guadalupe River Vs. Alau Dam Flood­ing: Lessons For Nigeria

The Guadalupe River flooding has been described as one of the deadliest freshwater disasters in the United States in 50 years, sur­passing the death toll of Hurricane Helene in 2024. For a first-world country like the U.S., it was a major—and even embarrassing—event.

Readers may wonder: what distinguishes the Alau Dam flooding disaster in Maidugu­ri, Nigeria, from the Texas tragedy? Despite occurring thousands of miles apart and in different hemispheres, both disasters left sim­ilar death tolls and destruction in their wake.

Yet there are important differences.

The Alau Dam flooding was driven by a combination of heavy rainfall, poor mainte­nance, and dam mismanagement—failings often linked to a weak maintenance culture in Nigeria. In contrast, the Texas flooding was triggered by heavy rainfall, tropical moisture, and a rare weather phenomenon known as a mesoscale convective vortex—a freak weather event rather than infrastructural neglect.

The consequences reflected these differ­ences. The Alau Dam’s collapse caused a sudden, catastrophic release of water, affect­ing over one million people, displacing hun­dreds of thousands, and destroying critical infrastructure. The Texas flooding caused at least 135 confirmed deaths, with widespread damage in communities such as Kerrville and Hunt, but it was marked by a more gradual rise in water levels.

The response efforts also diverged sharply. In Nigeria, relief operations were hampered by security challenges and allegations of cor­ruption, leaving many survivors without ade­quate support. In Texas, response efforts were swift and coordinated, with multiple agen­cies, including FEMA, deploying resources for search and rescue.

Why emphasize these differences? They reveal the unique challenges and lessons em­bedded in each disaster. The Nigerian Me­teorological Centre, for instance, appears to have learned from past failures. It recently issued early flood alerts covering 11 states in September. State governments such as Lagos and Delta also seem to be working to minimize loss of life and property, as reflected in media reports of drainage clearing and embankment construction. Hopefully, these proactive measures will also prevent the ter­rifying scenes of last year, when crocodiles, hippos, and other reptiles were flushed into riverine communities during floods.

The comparison between the Alau Dam disaster and the Guadalupe River basin flood underscores a simple truth: climate change is a global challenge. But given the U.S.’s expe­rience and Nigeria’s vulnerabilities, Nigeria should adopt the best practices of advanced countries rather than reinvent the wheel.

The U.S., despite being the richest and most powerful country in the world, also contends with deserts—from Texas to Neva­da—as Nigeria contends with the Sahel in Kano, Maiduguri, and Sokoto. Likewise, it has aquatic states like Florida that mirror Lagos, the Delta, and Rivers. Nigerian states sharing ecological similarities with U.S. states could adopt their development paradigms and seek mentorship to improve disaster prepared­ness.

This proposition may seem idealistic, but, as the saying goes, little drops of water make an ocean. China became an economic powerhouse partly because of its openness to external mentorship. When U.S. President Richard Nixon visited China in 1972, he set in motion a new era of trade and infrastructure development, later consolidated by President Jimmy Carter in 1979. Barely 50 years later, China rose to become the world’s second-larg­est economy.

By learning from the U.S. and fostering such partnerships, Nigerian states could transform disaster preparedness and resil­ience into a broader pathway for develop­ment. Who knows—if our leaders take bold action, Nigeria could one day mirror China’s dramatic economic rise.

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